• Avudh
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Top Boot Politics
Update on military politics
Permalink : http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/topboot
Wednesday , April 30 , 2008
It's time to let go of Thaksin
Posted by Avudh , Reader : 836 , 18:22:15  
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Rules are supposed to be a beacon for the political system to function properly. But Thai politicians seem to have invoked the book of rules for the destruction of their opponents.

In 76 years under democratic rule, the country has seen no less than 18 constitutional changes. If the People Power Party has its way, the 2007 Constitution will soon undergo an extensive rewrite.

With so many charters written and discarded, the writing of rules has, in effect, become a national pastime.

Rival camps try to sway the public sentiment to justify their respective sets of rules. But the people have never been a party to any debate about rules. The rule book is for politicians to enforce and abide by and not for voters.

As voters, the people cast their ballots to elect their representatives who should play by the rules to do their job but choose to manipulate the rules to grab or cling to power.

The Thai political scene is unique in one aspect – politicians often avoid a policy debate like a plague but are quick to slap the rule book against one another in order to gain an upper hand in the power struggle.

Ever since a group of about 227 elites switched from absolute monarchy to popular democracy under the banner of the People Party in 1932, rules have been written and revised to suit the powers-that-be.

In the 1930s, 40s and 50s, the country saw many sets of game-changing rules as a ripple effect from the split within the People Party. The clique led by Field Marshal Plaek Pibulsonggram took several decades to settle a score with the rivals under the leadership of Pridi Bhanomyong.

Popular votes and political parties were introduced more than a decade after the advent of democratic rule as a result of irreconciliable infighting of the People Party. Whenever members of the Thai ruling class could not work out a power sharing arrangement, they would always try to outpace one another to gain control of the rules and invoke the popular support as shield in the game of our rules versus theirs.

As the country moved from a half-baked democracy of the 1980s to the full-fledged democratic rule in the 1990s, a few charters have gone to the rubbish bin of history as the ruling class remains unable to reach a consensus on suitable rules for the Thai political system.

For almost a decade, the 1997 Constitution was heralded as the "ideal" road map of Thai politics. The 2006 coup tore up the charter by citing the social divisions and the collapse of the checks and balances caused by the authoritarian leadership of ousted premier Thaksin Shinawatra.

The suspended 1997 charter was the model for the 2007 Constitution. As the charter was promulgated during the seizure of power, the People Power Party now says it is unacceptable. The main coalition party wants an extensive charter rewrite based on the suspended provisions.

It is ironic that many political veterans, including Prime Minister Samak Sundaravej, have a sudden change of heart from being staunch opponents of the suspended 1997 charter to fully embracing it like a cure-all remedy.

Government politicians and their opponents have stirred up a great confusion by making conflicting remarks on what the new rules should be. Thaksin is at the centre of the debate because proponents and opponents of charter rewrite both invoke his name in their arguments.

Samak and government politicians cry foul because the charter provisions have been designed to get rid of one man, Thaksin, with ramifications to weaken the political parties. Opponents countered that the government is trying to fix the rules on Thaksin’s behalf.

Rival sides have floated so many arguments on rules which they see as just. But their arguments keep changing so as to make it difficult to anticipate what the new charter, if written, will look like. This is because the ruling class is citing rules as pretext for the power struggle instead of having a genuine attempt to improve on the political system.

The power struggle appears in many shapes and forms relating to the scenarios for charter rewrite. Though the bottom line is the government politicians want to remain in power for a full term while Thaksin’s opponents are suspicious that Thaksin is making an inroad to resume power.

The tension would dissipate if the government could convince opponents and the ruling class about its emancipation from Thaksin. The charter amendments are not the real issue but a bargaining chip for power arrangement.

For public consumption, charter rewrite has been dominating the headlines as the key issue of the day. In the backroom, intense negotiations are being carried out on the fate of Thaksin. For political predicament to end, the government politicians must realise they could not afford to carry Thaksin as excess baggage.

The charter amendments will become clear if the backroom negotiations can be settled successfully. The fact of the matter is that Thaksin, his familiy members and cohorts can avail themselves for royal clemency at the end of the judicial review.

It is high time to stop involving Thaksin, directly or indirectly, in the political scene. Otherwise the political misery will never be overcomed.

 

 

 


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comment 6
Avudh date : 06/05/2008 time : 16.27
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/topboot
The Nation's military guru

Obeyno1kinobe,
No I won't get shot. I am a little man out of anyone's firing range.
I have already outlined my thoughts on the ruling class in my comment no 3.
I am not a judge to render my opinion on the merits and demerits of Mr T. I am saying he will have his chance to plot his next move in four years. For now, the political predicament will likely dissipate if politicians of all stripes stop invoking his name for their self-serving gains.
comment 5
Obeyno1kinobe date : 06/05/2008 time : 13.25
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/obeyno1

Or will you get shot if you tell me.

I'm surprised ex PMT hasn't been assasinated.

Why should Mr T go away. A majority of people voted for him.

If anyone should compromise and back off in the national interest, it should be the non elected ruling powers, whoever they are.

I suspect some of these powers may be under the royal umbrella. When things change at the top, they may not be so well protected. I wonder if this presents an opportunity for Mr T.
comment 4
Obeyno1kinobe date : 06/05/2008 time : 13.17
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/obeyno1

Interesting blog.

Who exactly are the elite powers, the ruling class?

Is it the military elite
The old merchant bankers
The Judiciary
The monarchy and their relatives,
and their privy counsellers
Is it a bunch of old influential families and royal retainers and advisors?

Can you be specific?
comment 3
Avudh date : 02/05/2008 time : 10.56
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/topboot
The Nation's military guru

MakubeX and Poomjai,
You both make my day by your interesting remarks.
MakubeX,
I agree with you that Thaksin should exit politics. Unfortunately I don’t see this to happen any time soon. For his own survival, Thaksin has to keep on engaging the people as shield for his legal battle. I see his action as a fight for survival rather than a malicious move to resume power. I deplore many government politicians for invoking Thaksin’s name for their self-serving gains and in doing so, inflame the situation.
Poomjai,
Let me begin by tackling your second question. I don’t imply to judge the public adoration of Thaksin. The guy is popular, so be it. Correct me if I’m wrong. But I believe the electorates don’t get to choose who should be in the race but vote on candidates put up for them. In four years, Thaksin will have his electoral right restored. Then he can decide his next move. What the future holds, I don’t know. I am concerned, however, about the present predicament caused by involving Thaksin in the power struggle.
Regarding your first question, I refer to the ruling class as a collective group of individuals with influence over the course of politics. The ruling class evolves over time. Thai elites in 1932 certainly differ from the present-day leading figures. But one of their traits – the invoking of the rule book in power struggle, remains a constant. In this story, several names came to my mind when I wrote about the ruling class. Prem Tinsulanonda, Thanin Kraivixien, Prasong Soonsiri, several tycoons, all leaders of PAD and DAAD, elected office holders, members of the Oppsiition, ranking bureaucrats and many opinion makers and academics.
comment 2
Poomjai date : 01/05/2008 time : 18.41
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/poomjai

Avudh,

Excellently written article if I may say so. However, your paragraph fourth from the bottom really sums up what is wrong with democracy in Thailand.

'convince opponents and the ruling class of its emancipation from Thaksin'.

Firstly, please articulate your notion of 'ruling class' if you don't mind.

Secondly, do you also plan to emancipate common and garden Thai people from Thaksin and if so how?

I am not trying to support Thaksin. However, if so many Thai people love Thaksin, warts and all, what democratic means do you have up your sleeve to ensure his exclusion over the long term?
comment 1
MakubeX date : 30/04/2008 time : 22.51
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/babylon

Yes, it's about time...but can Thaksin please get his greasy palms off Thailand first please?

Captain! We have a Cling-on on board!
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