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Thai Talk
Analysis and comments on political and current affairs
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Thursday , November 5 , 2009
Abhisit-Chavalit-Thaksin-Hun Sen: all politics is local
Posted by Yoon , Reader : 454 , 06:15:57  
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IS THERE anything wrong about a country's opposition leader embarking on a diplomatic tour of neighbouring countries?

There's nothing unusual in it - except when it becomes an extension of a long-standing domestic political conflict. It's interference in domestic affairs - in reverse.

When one party to the conflict drags the leader of a foreign country into the local political face-off, you get into a triangular mess. Disruptive diplomacy is the name of the game, and you initiate it at your own risk - and the country's peril.

General Chavalit Yongchaiyudh - "Big Jiew" - has announced that he plans to visit at least eight countries as "chairman" of the main opposition Pheu Thai Party. But does he present himself as the alternative to the incumbent prime minister of Thailand - or simply former premier Thaksin Shinawatra's proxy?

Chavalit's first venture into diplomatic one-upmanship in his comeback show in Cambodia was, in terms of how the trip worsened the soured relations between the two countries, nothing short of a fiasco. He came back from a meeting with Cambodian Premier Hun Sen not to tell the Thai people how he had placated the Khmer leader over the Preah Vihear issue - but to declare Hun Sen's pro-Thaksin stand against the current government.

In other words, whether deliberately or not, Chavalit managed to stoke fears of increased divisiveness in the country. Hun Sen, not surprisingly, seems delighted to have been drawn into the Thai domestic political game.

It's a rare windfall indeed for Hun Sen to be able to exploit a Thai ex-premier in order to negotiate with the current Thai leader. Hun Sen has only Chavalit and Thaksin to thank for "intervening" on his behalf in his spat with Thailand today.

And when politicians get entangled in personal business deals - when premiers and ex-PMs are suspected of having been business associates across the border in one form or another - diplomacy simply cannot be viewed from one formal dimension any more.

Chavalit was therefore not all that convincing when he tried to explain how he was defending Thailand's national interests, when he was more concerned and excited about the prospect of Thaksin being granted political asylum in Cambodia.

Now, Chavalit's next stop is Malaysia. The lack of blatant "conflict of interests" involving politicians on both sides should lead to a bipartisan approach from the Thai side. And perhaps here is where, for the first time, opposition leader Chavalit and PM Abhisit could join hands in dealing with the drawn-out problems in the deep South.

Chavalit's personal links to certain elements on the Thai-Malaysian border could help enhance the solution-seeking process - although some of his personal efforts in the past in initiating "secret negotiations" with certain dissident elements had produced more noise than substance.

But Chavalit's role, if and when it's de-linked from Thaksin - who left a highly negative legacy in the South - could still be considered a plus factor.

The Democrat Party's well-known political base in the South has so far proved distressingly ineffective in pursuing solutions to the violence in the region. Their excuse is that they are powerless and have been without the necessary resources since they were in the opposition.

Now that they are in power, the Democrats can ill afford to hide behind the same old wall of inaction. Neither can they blame Chavalit on this score. It is not likely, after having created a storm on the Cambodian side, that he will be asking Malaysian Premier Najib Razak to offer political asylum to Thaksin. Nor is it likely that Najib will want to be pulled into a dangerous game such as this.

Najib has said that Chavalit is an old friend and that he is more than happy to work with Abhisit to help restore peace in Thailand's deep South.

Wouldn't it be a real coup if someone could get Abhisit, Chavalit and Najib together in the troubled area to make a big show of the perfect combination of domestic reconciliation and unity of purpose across the border?

All politics is domestic, after all.


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comment 4
Plaadip date : 05/11/2009 time : 11.11

Do you reccommend the gov. to invite Chawalit when Malaysian PM visit the deep south with Abhisit? How come it's possible after Chawalit presented an alternative idea just a week before the government draft plan on the south be in the parliament for approval? It's a good show but without substance, only cofuse the people there, I guess.
comment 3
happyjack date : 05/11/2009 time : 10.08

How did Saxena get a work permit,through Chav, ?.how did he flout Im Rules so easily.?.A Can of Worms here,lets hope he blows the Whistle to save his arse,and drop the Thais who Abused Thais in the Poop.Restless nights ahead for many i suspect.
comment 2
happyjack date : 05/11/2009 time : 09.08

I think Chav is an Embarrassment to the Nation, and should be pensioned off before he causes any more damage.That Dam Cheff made us the Joke of Asian.If a Thai cant present himself on the World Stage with the decorum of Abhisit,he should be confined to the Amphur levell.
comment 1
wch date : 05/11/2009 time : 06.49
http://blog.nationmultimedia.com/wch

It should rather be unusual if Hun Sen would not make use of Thaksin, who is openly known a pro-Cambodian figure of Thailand. There was no such friendly figures of Thai to Hun Sen during his civil war to unification.
How important the unification was to all Cambodians ?, if one looks at Thais whose all Thai TV channels now promote their own unity, that seems unlikely achievable this or that year unless another couple of decades passes, when only successful.

In other hands, one must think how hostile this Thai democrat leading government against the Prea Vihar castle issue where billions dollar investments are stalled rustling. The investment is indeed big to Cambodians. Not only this, Cambodia can not invest on the badly needed offshore natural gas well due to Thai navy threat.
Hun Sen might think only friendly Thai government can solve this problem and he
Might be misunderstood Thaksin will take power soon.

For a long time, I observed Gen Chavalit. He is not the man who is able to think deeply. He is rather impulsive without deep meditation. He is doing whatsoever Thaksin is likely to prefer, to satisfy him. I wonder if he is so memory-losing.
When he was assigned to the southern muslim matter, he failed and Thaksin dismissed him. Gotten seriously shamed, the general retired publicly announced his political retirement. Again he took security charge of Somchai government and failed.
Gen Prem is a man of integrity and not a man who uses speech to a man but this time, he didn’t reserve such a harsh word ‘Betrayor’.

Once dumped, any wife yells at village ‘pak-soi’.
Leave them alone until silenced and disappeared.

The brain butter-less speech of Malay PM ‘Autonomy’, Thais can make him produce more idea, practical and pragmatic. It must be Malaysians to kick him off later.
“When baby wants to cry, he kicks it timely”.
Malaysian 3 northern provinces are stretching out and hold up arms.
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