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PM Abhisit will need all his soccer tactics to negotiate all the political landmines ahead. This week, he will have to seek Cabinet approval to propose a joint parliamentary session to debate the vital constitutional amendments. Without the necessary charter changes, any House dissolution to call a new general election wouldn't be possible -- or if it is forced upon him, the polls would be chaotic. The parliamentary session will be between Sept 16-18. Sept 19 will mark the third anniversary of the coup. The red-shirts have threatened to hold a huge rally on that day. Whether the government will impose the special security law or not will be decided today. Then, the premier leaves for the UN on Sept 20. The following day, the Court will rule on the controversial rubber saplings case in which at least 44 ex-Cabinet members under Thaksin would know whether they will be punished -- and whether Newin Chidchob, former deputy agriculture minister under Thaksin, will face a jail term or not. Newin is an important king-maker in the present coalition government. Sept 30 will see another crucial court's ruling, this time on the Cabinet members who were responsible for the online lottery issue. Ruling one way or the other on any of the cases could have sigificant impact on the Abhisit government. And in the wake of such obvious political vulnerability, any misstep could spell trouble, real trouble for Abhisit. So, stay tuned. |
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